December 17, 2007 - The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly ...
This book is a generally accessible challenge to the widespread use of Gaussian statistics as tools of prediction in socioeconomics (encompassing investing). With strong emphasis on intractable uncertainty, it is necessarily ...
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Top Five Best Selling Investment Books
The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable by Nassim Nicholas Taleb In case you are wondering what the number 6 book is, it is: A Bull in China: Investing Profitably in the World's Greatest Market by Jim Rogers.
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Black Swan Investing
In a blog post, VC Ted Driscoll suggests that all VC funds allocate a small percentage of their fund to invest in very early stage, positive, "Black Swan", disruptive opportunities.
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Another List by dylan
The Age of Turbulence and The Shock Doctrine made the list in multiple categories, both making the Current Events list and The Age of Turbulence making the Memoirs list as well. The Black Swan also got the nod in Nonfiction. ...
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Monday links: Cramerica restructures
Investing is by definition a bet on the unknown. (A Dash of Insight). Is Jim Cramer turning over a new (investing) leaf? (BusinessWeek.com). A chapter-by-chapter review of Nassim Taleb’s “The Black Swan.” (CXO Advisory Group) ...
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Is Rich Dad the Great Black Swan Hunter?
I sure wish Robert Kiyosaki (famed author of the Rich Dad Poor Dad never-ending series of books) would read The Black Swan. For our purposes today, Taleb argues that we convince ourselves that the world is more orderly and coherent than ...
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The Black Swan
(Compare, for example, my description of Hamlet-types to Taleb's notion of "epistemocrats," or my case for investing in ideas. Now I owe Taleb for renewing my interest in Karl Popper, and reinvigorating my sense of humour -- for which ...
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Was it a Black Swan Day?
Today is the 20th Anniversary of Black Monday. Joe Nocera had some interesting thoughts on this here, including this:. Having watched the way investors have behaved since the Crash of '87, I've come to believe that most human beings are ...
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Book Review - The Black Swan
It took me a while to get through The Black Swan - The Impact of the Highly Improbable because it was pretty scientific. According to author, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, a Black Swan is a highly improbable event that is unpredictable, ...
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Predictions & Black Swans
Black Swan events are a bit different. These non-specific forecasts are relevant, yet not specific. The investor needs to consider ways to allow for these possibilities while not allowing them to determine the overall investment ...
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Painting the Swan
After reading “The Black Swan” by Nicholas Taleb, one has to reflect on years ending in ‘7’ and the unfortunate habit of October being the month of financial doom for the equity markets. If you look at the build up of bad news, ...
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"The Black Swan" by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
So, a "black swan" is something that past experience would absolutely not prepare you for. The Great Depression was a Black Swan; if you had looked at previous economic history, especially in America, there was no precedent for an ...
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Books to Get Rich By
The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable--by Nassim Nicholas Taleb; Wealth and Poverty--by George Gilder; Prophet of Innovation: Joseph Schumpeter and Creative Destruction--by Thomas K. McCraw; ...
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Stoicism
What I am driving at is that — contrary to the claims of most hedge fund managers, notably those in possession of miraculous “black boxes” — luck is a huge element in investing. For example, you may have done all your proper sums on ...
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The Black Swan
Another part of your life can be prepared for those good 'black swans' by investing or doing some extremistan things that could grow exponentially. For example this year fertilizer, and shipping stocks have grown like crazy. ...
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The Black Swan’s revenge
Today's WSJ has a thought provoking article as the lead in the Money & Investing section – "How the 'Quant' Playbook Failed" – completing the Black Swan process (highly disruptive, unforeseen event that gets post-event rationalization) ...
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Today's Daily Reckoning - The Age of Zoo Capitalism
Is this a "Black Swan" event ? Well, a true "Black Swan" event would be both unexpected and profound in its effects, so it would seem so, as Bloomberg.com quotes Hal Wilson, the chief financial officer of the Jefferson County school ...
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Black Swan - CNBC killer?
... but seeing one black swan does disprove the theory). - Cognitive errors including loss aversion are often the source of sub-optimal investment decisions. They tend to focus on frequency [of losses/gains] than on its magnitude. ...
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Supercapitalism: The Transformation of Business, Democracy, and ...
Bestselling author Nassim Nicholas Taleb continues his exploration of randomness in his fascinating new book, The Black Swan, in which he examines the influence of highly improbable and unpredictable events that have massive impact. ...
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The Black Swan :: The Highly Improbable and Real Estate Investors
The Black Swan discusses highly improbable events - like the occurrence of a black swan in nature – and how they impact our society. Taleb comments on our collective overestimation of what we know (and our underestimation of what we ...
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Smart ETF/No Load Fund Investing: The Scandal Of Predictions
Nassim Taleb’s book “The Black Swan,” about which I wrote a few weeks ago, had an excerpt that best describes the “expert” problem we are all facing, especially in the financial services industry. He refers to the work of psychologist ...
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hearts and swans
... swans but somewhere in another place, a black swan is found. that is a rare event but invalidates the conclusion of swans being all white. now for all those who are interested in making money and investing in futures, read taleb. ...
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Investments–Unexpected Events (V9-I43)
Taleb’s describes a ‘’Black Swan’’ as having ‘’three attributes: unpredictability, consequences and retrospective explainability.’’ He shows how some really smart people, like the Nobel Prize winners at the helm of Long Term Capital ...
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Investing in silver
And in today's economic climate, there are plenty of risks to hedge against: currency exchange declines, loss of purchasing power, and black swan events - sudden unexpected financial crises such as war, terrorism, natural disasters, ...
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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (Hardcover ...
The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (Hardcover) By Nassim Nicholas Taleb. Buy new: $16.17 64 used and new from $15.09 Customer Rating:. First tagged “science” by Matthew E. Harbowy “the bear that went over the mountain” ...
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Investing Lessons from the Turkey (you ate yesterday)
Stick to a balanced plan while ignoring the latest buzz. In doing so, you just might avoid the butcher block! (Footnote: I borrowed the turkey analogy from one of my favorite books: The Black Swan, by Nassim Nicholas Taleb.)
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Books on investment
INVESTMENT CLASSICS – Leo Gough Insights from 25 well known books. THE BATTLE FOR INVESTMENT SURVIVAL – Gerald Loeb An old book written in different times but contains some words of wisdom that may still be relevant. THE BLACK SWAN ...
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Review of The Black Swan, The Impact of the Highly Improbable ...
In fact true Black Swans, I gather, are not so easy to predict. The destruction of the World Trade Center was a Black Swan even though we knew there were organizations determined to fight what they saw as US tyranny. ...
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Black Swan Investing
Nicholas Taleb, author of Fouled by Randomness and The Black Swan, was featured in a WSJ article. He helped launch a hedge fund, Universa, based on his ideas. He essentially buys puts and calls on securities, saddle option bets (or is ...
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ASPO 10/07 - MP's Notes - Key Take-Aways
“Series of Petro-Driven “Black Swan” events.” “Will have been perceived as highly improbable, but in retrospect they were highly predictable.” 10 of 14 LNG producers are OPEC countries. “Don’t think historical economic behavior patterns ...
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That Lawyer/Law Student Glut - Re-Tooling for Lucrative Careers
Famous expert on uncertainty Nassim Nicholas Taleb emphasizes in "The Black Swan" that success is almost guaranteed for those who just keep trying. That's because we live in a random or black swan [unexpected happenings which could have ...
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The Frustrated Investor
Reading books such as Nassim Taleb’s “Fooled by Randomness,” or “The Black Swan,” which I reviewed before, can help you get away from looking at markets with too much emotion but in a more factual way by accepting that tops and bottoms ...
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Top 10 Business & Investing Books (9/17/07)
Here are the latest top sellers on business and investing, according to Amazon.com:. 1. The Age of Turbulence: Adventures in a New World, By Alan Greenspan. 2. The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable, By Nassim Nicholas ...
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How soon would we have been ready? At what cost?
Roughly how long would it take to have rebuilt the bridge that fell, assuming that Governor Pawlenty had somehow been able to gaze into a crystal ball and foreseen the black swan? I use black swan in the Taleb-ian sense. ...
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Robert Kiyosaki
Robert Kiyosaki Festival of Stocks, Is Rich Dad the Great Black Swan Hunter, The Dough Roller, The Dough Roller takes on Rich Dad, Poor Dad author Robert Kiyosaki, who scoffs at the lessons of Nassim Nicholas Taleb's Black Swan Robert ...
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Masters of the Banking Universe Are No Longer "The Smartest Guys ...
... there was no stopping the unchecked desires to eat any type of paper instrument with outlandish returns, because nobody was paying attention to a "Black Swan Event" which finally came in the form of Bear Stearns this past summer. ...
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Instead of forcing customers to install the Investing tmt software on.
And maybe I can get another chapter of The Black Swan read. The cost of net financial debt increased from. Can tell you all things about Jobs. Auto Union to Extend Labor Talks for Second Day. Benin calls on US Congress to end cotton ...
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Confirmation Bias
I am currently reading his second, The Black Swan, the Impact of the Highly Improbable. The first book centers on the "hidden role of chance in life and in the markets." As an investor, it is particularly apropos as one tries to ...
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Money Will Eat Itself
... system than its banks have managed on their own, whether via venal lending or by comparably facile investing. We have, of course, been here before. Nassim Taleb pointed out in ‘The Black Swan’ that after defaults in Latin America, ...
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A Geek Gift Guide, Part IV: Books, Comics and Graphic Novels [from ...
Business & Investing. Anatomy of the Bear: Lessons from Wall Street's Four Great Bottoms by Russell Napier; The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable by Nassim Nicholas Taleb; My Start-Up Life: What a Very Young CEO Learned on ...
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Turtles in Omaha
In it, he discusses Curtis Faith's new book, "Way of the Turtle" as well as Nassim Taleb's latest book, "The Black Swan". His article is a must for investor and entrepreneur alike and can be downloaded here...Download TurtlesOmaha.pdf ...
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The finance book nobody wants
”I have a copy of ‘The Black Swan’ by Nassim Taleb”, he said, “and I really do not want to keep this book!” “I would be happy to send this to you, so you can see it and make your own judgement. You can then keep it or give it to your ...
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MUSTS… # ‘Fooled by randomness’ by Nassim Nicholas Taleb Taleb ...
... investing decisions and to be aware of events that have a low probability of occurrence, but which can have disastrous consequences if they do happen. These are what Taleb calls ‘black-swan’ events. A single ‘Black swan’ occurrence ...
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links for 2007-10-25
Nassim Nicholas Taleb, author of The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable, details the precarious foundations upon which billions — perhaps trillions — of dollars have been invested… (tags: trading finance hedgefunds risk ...
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A Few Good Reads
... and I respect his vigilance in preparing for a Black Swan event, there's something missing. It actually reminds me of how I drive, and I'll get another post up on how good driving and good investing rhyme in the near future. ...
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The Value Investor Library
Do you know what a 'Black Swan' is? No - not the bird. In this new York Times Best Seller, Taleb argues that the really important events that affect us (and financial markets) cannot be predicted by past events, but instead will be rare ...
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Homework
Here is your homework assignment - two thousand words describing the Black Swan that would erupt if PayPal has to "break the buck" on their money market fund - the fund that forms the backbone of their online payment system. ...
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Wealth Track
Consuelo Mack talks to Nassim Taleb, author of the bestseller, The Black Swan, a must-read among Wall Streeters; and Jason Zweig, author of Your Money and Your Brain about the new field of neuroeconomics.
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